Blog

October 18, 2011

Crossing The StarNish Line

How do you imagine life after selling your business?

Are you travelling? Europe maybe? Patagonia, or somewhere nice and warm?

If you’re like most of the business owners I know, you imagine selling your business, having a going-away party, and riding off into the sunset.

Increasingly, it’s not working out that way.

In a shaky economy, with banks shy to lend, the proportion of cash that business owners get when they sell is sinking with the proportion of the sale price put “at risk” in some sort of “earn-out” or “vendor take back” loan is going up.

Recently, I hosted a workshop in Toronto and invited an M&A professional who spoke about the typical deals she is doing these days. She shared the story of one buyer who is acquiring marketing services businesses for as much as ten times earnings before tax. The fine print? They only pay three times earnings upfront and leave the possibility of the other seven in a five-year earn-out.

The seller sees the finish line; the buyer fires the starting gun

Buyers and sellers come at the M&A process from totally different points of view.

The seller is usually just willing their tired old body to the finish line. On the other, you have a buyer just about to fire the starting gun. But the buyer isn’t planning on doing any running; they expect you to hear the gun and run faster than you ever imagined possible.

Is it just me, or is there something wrong with this picture?

Note to buyers: we’re tired, not stupid

I think buyers need to stop being greedy. I saw a deal recently where a rental business had grown to twelve million dollars in sales and more than two million in EBITDA. They were being offered six million dollars upfront and another six million dollars available through a complicated, five year earn-out formula.

Are you kidding?

Do you know what it takes to build a business from scratch to a point where it is generating two million dollars of profit? Have you any idea how burned out and tired the business owner must feel? This owner has built the business to the equivalent of a Picasso and you want to steal it for three times earnings?

For a gem like this, you need to pay a decent multiple upfront and put a reasonable set of goals together for a one or two-year earn-out. I don’t care what your spreadsheet says; a victory lap is okay but indentured servitude is not.

Note to sellers: move up your “sell by” date

Sellers – I like you. A lot. I consider myself on your side, but you have to understand that the days of driving off into the sunset on closing day (unless maybe you own a technology business that runs itself) are over. As a seller, I would tell you to plan to sell WAY earlier than you think you want to, so that you still have the energy, ideas and passion for the business to get you through the earn-out.

Yes, if you do everything right (recurring revenue, management team, unique niche, double digit EBITDA growth etc.), you can increase the cash proportion of your take from a sale from maybe 40% cash upfront to something closer to 65 or 70%; but you’re still going to be leaving at least a third – if not much more – of your money on the table if you plan to take your foot off the gas after closing day.

If you think you want out in five years, my advice is to plan to sell in two, so you have some juice left to get you over the finish line, which is moving ever further away.

(photo courtesy of Flickr/Nordea Riga Marathon)

  • Greg Boucher says:

    Deal teams’ ability and process often trump seller’s education. Although I agree with the sentiments here, five years in an earnout is unfair. But, the market often dictates greed (or shifts the risk) in the form of onerous buyer conditions on the seller. Best solution? Create a better market for a seller through competition. What’s the seller’s BATNA? It’s always better if he/she has alternatives other than continuing to run the business if the deal the seller was looking for does not surface. Having a number or the threat of a number of competitors through an affective auction process and the use of a professional intermediary for both building an auction and for negotiations should help the seller out in dramatic fashion. Too many times, sellers take the path of not using a professional, experienced deal intermediary and rely on their wit, guile and those of their attorney to negotiate a deal, especially if the buyer (a lone buyer in many cases, has approached them). As an experienced intermediary, I often use the explanation that competition in the marketplace keeps the buyers honest. More buyers interested in a deal through the simple calculus of supply and demand, changes the leverage in negotiations in favor of the seller. Creating a competitive market along with an intermediary or investment banker that is experienced negotiating price and deal terms can be a great asset in a seller’s ability to garner a favorable deal.

  • jose luis acevedo says:

    we have read your book and we have traslated it, are you interested in having it in spanish?
    are you interested in comming to give a seminar in Guadalajara, Mexico.
    we are promoting Robin Sharma in Mexico.

  • John Carvalho says:

    As always, I enjoyed reading your most recent blog. As a qualifier, my firm provides acquisition advisory and subsequently we consult to the buyer on value creation and grow strategies. We do not provide services on the sell side, although I have spent most of my career assisting exiting owners. In a contrarian view, I like buyer; I’m on their side. Although buyers can be greed, so can sellers. Most of the ridiculously sized earn-outs are due to trying to meet an owner’s unrealistic expectation on price. In your example of the rental company, who is being greedy? A six times multiple for a $2 million EBITDA company seems excessive. Of course, I don’t know all the details, but I have seen many owners wanting an extraordinary price for their average business. They don’t spend enough time building a saleable company as describe in your book. As an aside, your book was actually one of the inspirations to start my own business because I saw that many business owners did not understand how to create real value (i.e. could be monetized thought some sort of exit). They focus on building their sales and EBITDA, which I agree is no small feat but they forget to document the policies, procedures and planning necessary to transfer a company’s knowledge to a potential buyer. It’s like buying a complicated piece of equipment with lots of moving parts but no instruction manual. I believe sellers must walk a mile in a buyer’s shoes to see these risks.

    • johnwarrillow says:

      Thanks John. Yes, I think we can agree 6 x cash up front might be a little high for a mature business is a mature industry but there’s a lot of room between 3 x and 6 x!

      Love your analogy of handing over a really complicated piece of equipment. as someone who struggles with IKEA assembly — that resonated with me!

  • Josh Patrick says:

    If you can get a controlled auction going, the percentage of cash upfront will probably be larger.

    If you can’t get at least 75% of your cash upfront and your business is actually salable, then it makes sense to wait till the market turns.

    I think you’re right on the money for early planning as part of the deal. While you still have the energy, get yourself out of day to day operations. This will allow you to structure your business so you can wait if you have to.

    Markets always turn. Right now it’s a buyers market. In the next several years it’s likely to turn and then sellers will control. Until that happens, change your relationship to your business and wait out the present lousy selling market.

    Josh Patrick
    http://www.stage2planning.com/blog

Add Comment

Follow John Warrillow

RSS Facebook Twitter
Pre-Order Built to Sell

Get your free chapter of Built to Sell: Creating a Business That Can Thrive Without You by signing up below: